Maryam Rajavi: growing crisis and a more intense power struggle on Rouhani’s second term
By Rob Roberts
May 21, Tehran: Reacting to the announcement of Rouhani's second-term win,Maryam Rajavi, President-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI),issueda statement on Saturday. The Paris news agency, The Media Express (TME), has seen the statement, which gives analysis of what type of fallout can be expected from Saturday's unexpected result.
It's commonly understood that Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei would have preferred the election of hardliner conservative candidate EbrahimRaisi, who had the support of Khamenei and various members of the regime’s factions.
(For some background on the electoral candidate process, the Supreme Leader and his specially appointed Guardian Council members have an undemocratic power to appoint or approve the candidateswho run for election.) But support for Raisi soured within the factions of Khamenei’s camp, resulting in a withdrawing of support for Raisi. Their worry was over his history, which can be traced back to having participated in the now well-publicized 1988 Massacre of political prisoners.
Khamenei may originally have wanted Rouhani out of government, in favour of Raisi.Raisi campaigned against the 2015 Nuclear (JCPOA) Deal, which Khamenei saysRouhani cajoled him into signing.
This series of events then positions Rouhani as more of a thorny payoff, if only to avoid the outrage that making Raisithe President would have sparked.
In comparaison to the recent French elections, where it was a choice between the ‘flu and cholera’ referring to the run-off between candidates Macron and Le Pen. In the Iranian context, it boiled down to a choice between a brutal murderer and an oppressive tyrant.
Maryam Rajavi states adamantly that”Khamenei’s heavy defeat in manipulating the election is an indication towards an end coming to the regime.”This disconnect and infighting will affect the Iranian people with ‘further suppression, executions, poverty and injustice’, which will come about under the hand of Rouhani. During the legacy of his presidency overthe past four years, the stats on Iran's human rights saw executions soar and political suppression increase.
With another election-term of a Rouhani/Khamenei rift, the NCRI indicated that ‘the notorious infighting’ shows a heightened power struggle, illustrating the failure of Mullahs to govern. Even under the auspices of the favourable Nuclear Deal, which flooded the Iranian economy with billions of previously iced assets in exchange for the regime recoiling its uranium enrichment capabilities, little relief has come to improve the ‘pressing social and economic problems.’ The regime also blatantly tests ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
The outlook for bringing change to the Iranian economy,which isbeneficial to the Iranian people, seems slim and bleak. Furthermore, state-run TV casts only positive notions of the government,as highlighted here by Rouhani’s Defense Minister, the Revolutionary Guards Brigadier General HosseinDehghan. In remarks made two weeks ago,Dehghan, in flagrant disregard of the Nuclear Deal, bragged that Rouhani’s tenure was so far “the most glorious period in the development of missile and defense programs of the country, in terms of both quantity and quality.”
This kind of bragging and bravado negatively resonates outside of Iran, and in terms of foreign policy and international security, it sends flags up and creates head-scratching questions about the Iran regime's intentions in the Middle East, as it continues financing its proxy wars to maintain instability in the region.
The measure of how the state-run TV can control and contain further blowouts between President Rouhani and the Supreme Leader Khamenei can be characterizedin the following segment from Saturday's NCRI statement (below), which exposes the nature of the
fundamentalism it subscribes to:
‘In an attempt to knock out his opponent during the election race,Rouhani acknowledged that the ruling faction “during 38 years only knew how to execute and imprison people”. But when Khamenei ‘reacted to his revelation and threatened him with a “slap” he retreated immediately and announced in a public gathering that he is willing to kiss the hand of the “exalted leader” dozens of times.’
The mullahs’ regime is trapped in it's own belligerence and unable to change.The NCRI statement concludedwith this observation, “Rouhani neither wants, nor is able to seriously alter the foundations, structure or behavior of this historically backward regime.’ and that crazily, ‘ten days prior to the election, Khamenei warned, “Gentlemen, please note that a change of behavior is no different from regime change.”
Teetering on the edge then, through its internal wranglings, the only next step to overthrow their religious tyranny is to support the Iranian people plus the Resistance,which will equate to the people’s freedom and sovereignty over this repressive clerical rule. The watch-name is Maryam Rajavi and the watch-wordis NCRI.
The Oslo Times International News Network